Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Midnight West 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Twirling Troillet 10.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Nip N Tuck 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 King of Hollywood 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hoodlum 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Slim Slow Slider 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Bolt At Midnight 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild Acclaim 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Buzzworthy 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mascara 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Army Girl 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Carol’s Melody 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Magic Seeker 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Royalewithcheese 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cognizant 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Playing Games 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Full Dolly 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 In for a Spin 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Playful Quality 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Bourbon Story 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Passionfruit 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mister Banderas 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Shan 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Eye Witness 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Derby Date 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Invulnerable 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Furious Anger 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Chiringo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’s On a Roll 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Plot 4.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 River Rise 10.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Imminent Risk 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Awards Ceremony 8.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Birch Run 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Union Rose 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sweettalkingwoman 20.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 English Harbour 6.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Runway Rebel 30.00 10 19-1
14 14 Argentinidad 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Givemethebeat 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Got What I Got 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rumbar 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mighty Nora 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 By La Rina 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Little Bit Angel 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Beauxbatons 2.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Twirling Aces 4.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Elevate 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Annie Bee 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Paradiseperfection 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tre Italiani 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Super Happy 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Zat’s the One 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Tap Me a Song 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Rock Music 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Chillax 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 On the Level 6.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Sweet Freedom 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Valiant Humor 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 Tom Cat Tuesday 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pondering 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 She’s a Tempest 15.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Mae Town 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Lovely Emma 1.80 3.4 6-1
7 7 Me Governor 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Big Trouble 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Sunna 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Spring Dancer 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Flirting With Time 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gorrono Ranch 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Click 20.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Poppy Woppy 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Raised 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Red Rainbow 20.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Grant’s Gretchen 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Spotted 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Gucci Gammy 30.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Heavenly Mary 15.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 A Little Patience 30.00 10 19-1
8 8 Veola 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Nola Louise 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.