Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nash Potatoes | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Editor | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Ruler | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Garry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Harbe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mouqeer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jack Charles (GB) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D Bigalow | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuzzy Stare | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apostles Creed | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Watashi | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jem’s Hershey Kiss | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Sal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lots of Kisses | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for a Title | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gerber Daisy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liz Knows Best | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Miss Olivia | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marcheline | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sissone | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Una Madiba | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Chick | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bourbon Milk Punch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Eve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mundy Sweep | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dream On Curlin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zero Absolute | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Betty’s Dance | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Split Success | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diablo Shiraz | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Upstart | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Listentourmother | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fun On the Bayou | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rock Havoc | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Saiyajin | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decimation | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Gerson | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bardstown Road | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Beach | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quick Silla | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bet On Silver | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Warrior | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Range Walt | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | How’s Al Today | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Raiding Party (IRE) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dagmara | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stepping Stones | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backgammon | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Callmeyourmajesty | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Mash | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honfleur | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Actress | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Connect the Stars | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call the Bullpen | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Code | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Back Ring Buzz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Temple Goddess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the Barn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Up Country | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Devilish Act | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bon Temps | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spellmaker | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Discotheque | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disparate Impact | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pelican Hill | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Symbol | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Mountains | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grind | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Titan King | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Final Thoughts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blackjack Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tough Little Nut | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Westside Tide | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plensa | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Stoked | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Idratherbeblessed | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Excite | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spoiler | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Joejoe Go | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Esmark | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.