Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 4, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Margie’s Girl 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Perpetual 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Luminous Beauty 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Mindee’s World 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Biblical Justice 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dinner Party 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Saysomethingnice 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mel Went Home 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 So Angelina 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Jersey Girl S.) – Jersey Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mythical 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Carmel Coast 2.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Paige Turner 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Goodall 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Irish Jig 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Oscar Bound 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Pennine Ridge S.) – Pennine Ridge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Talk to Me Jimmy 1.20 1 2-1
9 9 West End Kid 1.80 1.1 2-1
1 1 Bottas 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Glavine 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Noble Dynasty 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Blinging It Back 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Blackmail 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Time for America 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Asked and Answered 50.00 10 19-1
2 2 Chips and Fish 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Directive 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Pure Joy 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Metfardeh 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Reality Star 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 U Lite Up My Life 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Measure 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bernieandtherose 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Chit Chat 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Florida Patriot 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Nakoma 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Bourbon Milk Punch 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 My Divine Spirit (GB) 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 I’m Very Sweet 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Medici Road 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Chart the Course 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Dance Class 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Immortal Poet (GB) 12.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Clearly Sophia 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Red Beach 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Miel Et Citron 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Careless Whisper 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Tuthilltown 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Liberty’s Advance 4.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Rizz 8.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Gotta Gun Runner 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Lake Ariel 10.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Beau’s Bella 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Suited Connectors 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Enterprisingly 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 Chaumet 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Axis Point 20.00 5.3 10-1
13 13 Into the Unknown 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Ready Rosie Jane 50.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Likeness 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Right to Vote 4.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Operation Overlord 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 I Am I Said (GB) 5.00 2.1 4-1
13 13 Ambition 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Emergence 6.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Offlee Naughty 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Monterey Bay 10.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 War Officer 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Greystone 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Heathguard 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Edgerton 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Power Seeker 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Intercontinental S.) – Intercontinental S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 In Our Time 3.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Shoot It True 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Gratefully 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Creed’s Gold 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Time to Dazzle 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Ready to Jam 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Roja 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Love Cervere 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Twirling Queen 15.00 11 21-1
8 8 Italian Soiree 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Georgia Magic 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magnanimous Max 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Miami Frank 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Turn and Count 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Cocktailsnkringle 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Norwich 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sequential 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Apalta 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Xcel 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Register 20.00 11 21-1
3 3 First Blessing 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Gold Cup S.) – Belmont Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Parchment Party 0.60 1 2-1
7 7 Corruption 1.40 1.2 2-1
3 3 Tawny Port 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Navy Seal (IRE) 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Flashiest 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Concord Green 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Fleetfoot (IRE) 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Miztertonic 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Worthington 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dividend Recap 1.60 1 2-1
14 14 Big Air 2.00 1.2 2-1
16 16 Adrian 2.50 1.5 3-1
15 15 That’s Funny 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pretty Lavish (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
13 13 Planet Clare 8.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Autonome 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 River Tay (IRE) 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Bobby Jean 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Mo Complex 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Lotus Petal 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Heavenly Light 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Racing Colors 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Princess Summer 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Hauntress 20.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Lady River Lily 30.00 16 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.