Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 4, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Margie’s Girl 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dinner Party 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Perpetual 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Biblical Justice 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Luminous Beauty 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Mindee’s World 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mel Went Home 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Saysomethingnice 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 So Angelina 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Jersey Girl S.) – Jersey Girl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Carmel Coast 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mythical 1.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Goodall 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Irish Jig 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Paige Turner 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Oscar Bound 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Pennine Ridge S.) – Pennine Ridge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bottas 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 West End Kid 1.80 3.7 7-1
10 10 Talk to Me Jimmy 1.20 4.4 8-1
3 3 Time for America 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Glavine 4.00 5 9-1
5 5 Blackmail 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Noble Dynasty 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Chips and Fish 50.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Blinging It Back 6.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Asked and Answered 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Directive 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Bernieandtherose 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Pure Joy 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 U Lite Up My Life 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Measure 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Chit Chat 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Metfardeh 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Reality Star 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Florida Patriot 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Nakoma 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Bourbon Milk Punch 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 My Divine Spirit (GB) 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 I’m Very Sweet 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Medici Road 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Chart the Course 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Dance Class 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Immortal Poet (GB) 12.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Clearly Sophia 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Red Beach 30.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Miel Et Citron 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Tuthilltown 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Careless Whisper 3.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Liberty’s Advance 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Lake Ariel 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Rizz 8.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Suited Connectors 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Axis Point 20.00 8.2 16-1
11 11 Gotta Gun Runner 8.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Enterprisingly 15.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Beau’s Bella 10.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Into the Unknown 20.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 Ready Rosie Jane 50.00 11.6 22-1
9 9 Chaumet 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Emergence 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Right to Vote 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Operation Overlord 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Edgerton 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Likeness 3.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Monterey Bay 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Heathguard 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Greystone 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Power Seeker 20.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Ambition 6.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Offlee Naughty 8.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 War Officer 12.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 I Am I Said (GB) 5.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Intercontinental S.) – Intercontinental S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 In Our Time 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gratefully 4.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Shoot It True 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Love Cervere 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Roja 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Creed’s Gold 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Time to Dazzle 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Ready to Jam 10.00 7 13-1
11 11 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 2.50 7 13-1
1 1 Twirling Queen 15.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Italian Soiree 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Xcel 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magnanimous Max 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Miami Frank 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Sequential 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Apalta 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Cocktailsnkringle 6.00 7 13-1
3 3 First Blessing 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Georgia Magic 3.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Turn and Count 6.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Norwich 8.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Register 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Belmont Gold Cup S.) – Belmont Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Parchment Party 0.60 1 2-1
7 7 Corruption 1.40 1.2 2-1
3 3 Tawny Port 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Navy Seal (IRE) 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Flashiest 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Concord Green 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Fleetfoot (IRE) 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Miztertonic 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Worthington 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dividend Recap 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Heavenly Light 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 River Tay (IRE) 8.00 7.7 15-1
15 15 That’s Funny 6.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Autonome 8.00 10.4 20-1
14 14 Big Air 2.00 11.2 21-1
4 4 Mo Complex 10.00 11.5 22-1
1 1 Pretty Lavish (IRE) 6.00 11.9 22-1
11 11 Lotus Petal 12.00 12.5 24-1
9 9 Princess Summer 15.00 13.4 25-1
7 7 Bobby Jean 10.00 13.8 26-1
13 13 Planet Clare 8.00 14.5 27-1
16 16 Adrian 2.50 14.6 28-1
5 5 Hauntress 20.00 15 28-1
8 8 Racing Colors 15.00 15.4 29-1
10 10 Lady River Lily 30.00 16 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.