Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lost Chord | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watershed Moment | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Beauty | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souperrazzledazzle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crevalla de Vil | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summonyourcourage | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banned for Life | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Heisman | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Optical | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Caliber | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Work | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brodeur | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tisum | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Flyer | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timberline | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carcar Express | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jinxzi | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Fire Joe | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fuzzbuster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Bonus | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catch Hound | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Ink Lies | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dismiss | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halley’s Comet | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Soulman | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormtown | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Equator | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sleeping Warrior | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Vaggio | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Authority | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Zap d’Etat | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warnock | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Final Countdown | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Honors | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speech and Drama | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Town Foxy Brown | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Dandelion | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starfinder | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Blue Heaven | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Liberty | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Ona | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Mary | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Haleakala | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Azteca | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romany Road | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhaenys | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Lady | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vinno Ronnie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Salty | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Swift Blade | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Agne | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Six O Clock | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zeus’s Echo | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Sailor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Patrol Squad Six | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful War | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whatchadoin (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archimedes | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zakinthos | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Bucky | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chairmanoftheboard | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of a Walkon | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nogradi | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Promise | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Property | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | South Bend Tom | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secured Lender | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Highly Connected | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cliffs | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Temptable (GB) | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Attitude | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Serendipity | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bohemian | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Calamity | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contrary | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Necessity | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daisy Flyer | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Caviar Breakfast | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reining Flowers | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wind Flower | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy the Princess | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.