Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watershed Moment | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Chord | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Authentic Beauty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crevalla de Vil | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souperrazzledazzle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summonyourcourage | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Optical | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Special Caliber | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Work | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banned for Life | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Brodeur | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | R Heisman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jinxzi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Fire Joe | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tisum | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Flyer | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timberline | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carcar Express | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Equator | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stormtown | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Bonus | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fuzzbuster | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dismiss | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halley’s Comet | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Honors | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Authority | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sleeping Warrior | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warnock | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ink Lies | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zap d’Etat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Final Countdown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Soulman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Catch Hound | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Vaggio | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speech and Drama | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Town Foxy Brown | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Mary | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Dandelion | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Blue Heaven | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starfinder | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Ona | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Liberty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Haleakala | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romany Road | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Azteca | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vinno Ronnie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Lady | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rhaenys | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Salty | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zeus’s Echo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Agne | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Blade | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Six O Clock | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful War | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy Sailor | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Archimedes | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zakinthos | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Bucky | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Patrol Squad Six | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whatchadoin (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of a Walkon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | South Bend Tom | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nogradi | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maximum Promise | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Property | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chairmanoftheboard | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secured Lender | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highly Connected | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Contrary | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Necessity | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Attitude | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Temptable (GB) | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cliffs | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Serendipity | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wind Flower | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reining Flowers | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bohemian | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy the Princess | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Calamity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Daisy Flyer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Caviar Breakfast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.