Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | His Way | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mubarez | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secreto Uno | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arkansas Lovin Man | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Nique | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cruisinforabrusin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Peggy Rules | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maritime Millie | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addababy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupids Sweety | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saturdaynitealrite | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy’s Crue | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayleywick | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alcohol | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tartaria | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Given | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Connection | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Drinker | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chainsaw City | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | J T’s Imagination | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben Franklin | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peace Cloud | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mintastic | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s Thunder | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Best | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Gunner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Banker’s Jet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trafalgar’s Hero | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quietline | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ask Arthur | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riding Double | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joewilly | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coach Kev | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Munnings | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Always Spiteful | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaybella | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Somavia | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prancin Inthe Dark | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Never Wrong | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Alternative | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragazza Vincente | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Biz | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Furn | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kiowa Warrior | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fifth Sunday | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pitching Wedge | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brasa | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Modern Band | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rambo’s Return | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day Boss | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.