Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Deep | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cameron Slough | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Ellie | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free and Humble | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Cocktail | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mastery Kat | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ryan’s Girl | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theresasilverlinin | 1.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bear’s Board | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Scholar | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Soiree | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Daddy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eternal Reign (IRE) | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wildfire Princess | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anywaythewindblows (GB) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upcharge | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Baby | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jacklyn Lucas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Very Smart | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Track | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joyful Mischief | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Last Chance Darcy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never in Doubt | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lyndee’s Dream | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Olga | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 98 | Crazy Cavalier | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Leasure | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Bullingdon | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geometry | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enterdadragon | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tariff | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Happy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Rey Rey | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kitty Mac | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gogotiz | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitter Truth | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waiting for My Cue | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dame It Dani | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | By the Moonlight | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky At Sunrise | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palace Mischief | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The White Lady (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Confesion (ARG) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pulp Fiction (ARG) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sareeha (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baltic Fire | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ripassare | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hannah Buckle (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosie Jeeks | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roselee May | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surf Song | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Perfect Wave | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magnify | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Berlin Wall | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghazaaly | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deer District | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midway Lane | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balladeer | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Disrespectful | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Grayson | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Justivar | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icons Only | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Photogenic | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molly E | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Reign | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Specialty | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Belle | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Springline | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maguite | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.