Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 6, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Richeztoo 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Where Y’at 1.80 2.2 4-1
4 4 Tip Toe Joe 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Coal Fired 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Dewy’s Denali 15.00 5 10-1
1 1 Grand Oracle 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Yellow Sun Dress 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Goodbetterbest 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Bijou Baby 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Streetwhereyoulive 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Razzle Red 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Best Cupcake 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Lady Blake 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Mombayla 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Sanctify 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Dozen Diamonds 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Go Go Playmate 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Amazing Amanda 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 No Time Left 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 What’s the Tea 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Front Runnin 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Ashkenazi 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Alta Avenue 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hyperlink 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sequoia Stars 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Big Time Story 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Magicstrikesagain 1.80 4.2 8-1
9 9 Show Me the Munny 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Overview 4.50 7.2 14-1
3 3 Blazy 30.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Tregetour 20.00 9 17-1
5 5 Blackjack Man 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 I Don’t Get It 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Accretive 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Barksdale 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Funny Uncle 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 My Noble Knight 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 De’ Medici 6.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Osbourne 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Time for Truth 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grand Premiere 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Clark’s Corner 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Act of Parliament 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Let’s Be Frank 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Royal Causeway 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Limelight 30.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Sigfrid 12.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Feline Curious 15.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Bridgesong 15.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Still Sober 30.00 10.3 19-1
3 3 Instantly 8.00 11.3 21-1
7 7 In America 30.00 12 23-1
15 15 Ingleborough 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Atrabilious 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Provider 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wan Dale 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Serena’s Surprise 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Couplet 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 She’s Our Ten 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Curlin’s Charm 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mancuso 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sweet Reward 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sonhador 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Willowy 30.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Hudson River Line 50.00 9 17-1
3 3 My Steel Magnolia 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sumood 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Domingo 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Chambersville 12.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Vermelho 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sixtyseven Mustang 20.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Patrol Squad Six 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Unitas 10.00 7 13-1
10 10 Seven Wonders 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Two Beers by Ten 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Expect the Best 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Taunting 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Discreet Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Show of Force 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gunmetal 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Sharp Swinger 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dapper Moon 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Ajaayb 12.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Market Street 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Keep It Easy 12.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 C K Wonder 30.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Gate to Wire 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kirin 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pinfire 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Touchy 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Madaket Road 1.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Dr. Saikali 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Mighty Beau S.) – Mighty Beau S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Troubleshooting 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Joe Shiesty 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Mondogetsbuckets 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Schwarzmeier 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sweet Dani Boy 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Okiro 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Doncho 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Nothing Better 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Works for Me 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 No Nay Hudson (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wrong Shoes 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bet the Gray 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Edey 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Jaboss 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sassy Fox 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Tizianna 15.00 7 13-1
10 10 Brunia 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Tanya’s Momentum 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Trapped 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Dancewhenyoucan 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.