Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Where Y’at | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Oracle | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Richeztoo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tip Toe Joe | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coal Fired | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dewy’s Denali | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yellow Sun Dress | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodbetterbest | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sanctify | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dozen Diamonds | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Cupcake | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Streetwhereyoulive | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bijou Baby | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razzle Red | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mombayla | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Blake | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Go Go Playmate | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alta Avenue | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s the Tea | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Time Left | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashkenazi | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amazing Amanda | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Front Runnin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magicstrikesagain | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Time Story | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overview | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Show Me the Munny | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sequoia Stars | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hyperlink | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tregetour | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blackjack Man | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blazy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Don’t Get It | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barksdale | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Accretive | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funny Uncle | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De’ Medici | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Osbourne | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Noble Knight | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Truth | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Premiere | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Be Frank | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Causeway | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Provider | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Ingleborough | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Instantly | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Act of Parliament | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sigfrid | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Wan Dale | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Feline Curious | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bridgesong | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Atrabilious | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clark’s Corner | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In America | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Still Sober | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Limelight | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Couplet | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Charm | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonhador | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Serena’s Surprise | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mancuso | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Reward | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Our Ten | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Steel Magnolia | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Willowy | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hudson River Line | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sumood | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vermelho | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expect the Best | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Wonders | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Domingo | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unitas | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Two Beers by Ten | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chambersville | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Discreet Dancer | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Show of Force | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Patrol Squad Six | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Taunting | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sixtyseven Mustang | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Madaket Road | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Swinger | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pinfire | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunmetal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Street | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ajaayb | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gate to Wire | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keep It Easy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dapper Moon | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Touchy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kirin | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C K Wonder | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Saikali | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Mighty Beau S.) – Mighty Beau S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joe Shiesty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Troubleshooting | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Works for Me | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Schwarzmeier | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mondogetsbuckets | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doncho | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nothing Better | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Dani Boy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okiro | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tanya’s Momentum | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wrong Shoes | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trapped | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bet the Gray | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaboss | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edey | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Fox | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancewhenyoucan | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tizianna | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brunia | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.