Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Worker Bee | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ball of Fire | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Roscoe | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Denae | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Italian Wine | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sometime | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freely Held | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Newyearsblockparty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Float On | 1.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anchises | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanzzy | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uniwinner | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mogalu | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Phoebeinwonderland | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bint Mischief | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knowledge Is Good | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High View | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dona Luna | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caprichosainfront | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Need to Ask | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Embrace the Moment | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Talking | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Java Tales | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sina | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You’re the One | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Cache | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Parkes | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Card Trick | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dominguez | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Respighi | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Neat | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tunisian Spring | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Grey | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lordship | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grey Biggsy | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lundi Loot | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sam Stormy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Street Rockin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hanksdiviningrod | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tracking Error | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Music | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Andy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Temecula | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St Pete’s Passion | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Parfait | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El de Larry | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Drama | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Ways | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Escape Key | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Ranger | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frosty the Giant | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Embrace My Uncle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vance Scholars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cloud Music | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | King’s River | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hopeygot | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Jo Jo | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Freeze | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cap’n Cats | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rum Rock | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Break of Dawn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lexington Pike | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.