Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tavern Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Guy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carlin Contention | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boys of Summer | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Docsgotallthecandy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Motion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sundria | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battling Time | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hi Heeled Warrior | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mollewantacracker | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Miss | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Obstinate | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo’s Vino Mesa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Candothis | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astrid | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royalties Riches | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Second Best | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’oro Road | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maddie’s Garden | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Melody’s Kiss | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Side Diva | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aggro | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Marie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Opportunistic | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunlit | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunday Spirit | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Target | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Mode | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preach It Warrior | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missouri River | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sundaeswithsandy | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What It Tiz | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Dream | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Runner | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carry Grant | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Aire | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reelin N Dealin | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Commander | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run My Card | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bet N Win | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Cay | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amedeus Music | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Best Distance | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Porter | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Notion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Profound | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Psalmist | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom’s Echo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash of Chaos | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bala de Plata | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | If I Can Dream | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormbreaker | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Numbers Game | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fine Diamond | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Biz Whiz | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Barou | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Introubleagain | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starrosso | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dirty Cash | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Filled With Desire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.