Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Martini | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barbara Joan | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justine | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady On a Mission | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celebrity Ro | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stroke of Genius | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Liza | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ami’s Cry | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wunhappy Wabbit | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Japonka | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Goddess | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scat Humor | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olivia’s Melody | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Grey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yorkton’s Honour | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fracen Macho | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chambers | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Globetrotting | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Agile Dancer | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commander Worsley | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Professor Reload | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Film Academy | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captivating Name | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Sue | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Tongue | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sol de Verano | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lumberyard | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coolcollected | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Veery | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miramichi | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Jade | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mauna Loa | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Obey | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Armada Rising (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dakotah Blue | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Periwinkle | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bedazzle Me | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tandhoneywithane | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Endrick | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Napa Spirit (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Moment | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chancel | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Baby Henry | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Circle Back Jack | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master Spy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Break the Spell | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dancetotherhythm | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Sicily | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Bear | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verdejo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Society’s Kat | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard to Capture | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Follow Me | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | O Wow | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ella It Is | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vazhi | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheshimaintenance | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Retail Therapist | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zisisit (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rarified (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Girl Sky | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bit of Music | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nantuckets Day | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Giffen | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fury S.) – Fury S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Piper’s Gift | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corsia Veloce | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Candy | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Katie’s Grace | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pageant Queen | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mathematical | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Katherine’s Cub | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Lola | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Fashion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rose Fortune | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Kaykay | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deanna | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel’s Prospect | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s the Boss | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Phew | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frac’s C E O | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Night Striker | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poilievre | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baccaro Point | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Almasty | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Heart | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fog d’Oro | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sanhedrin | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Factor | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reloaded Form | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Malibu | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whatever You Want | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dave’s Legacy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Accelerando | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spikephil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mac Gowan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bright Angel (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.