Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starship Godiva | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Over Choctaw | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Serengeti | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thea | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Bella | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spying | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsan | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balaclava | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashes and Diamonds | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arbiter | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monster | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble Calling | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I C Light | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hammond | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ganaas | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gnome | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Penalty Box | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Embry Show | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banksy’s | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Preside | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Strike | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flaming Rainbow | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crevalli | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He Has Game | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mister Landry | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sense of Freedom | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cut to the Chase | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me and Molly McGee | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise City | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strong State | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sing a Little Song | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rojo Rita | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’z the Law | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Aliyah | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irina’s Charm | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sneakily | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Debutante (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paseo | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vow to Resiliency | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Temeraire | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Emerald Spun | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starla | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That Wasn’t Me | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Munny Reigns | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roiling | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minstrelly | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Leslie’s Lady S.) – Leslie’s Lady S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Explora | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Time Girl | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Fine Chardonnay | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaky Good | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Blonde | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Have Faith | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shilling | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Icona (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Memories | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sea To Sky (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Low Key in Love | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Justified | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faye’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Streep | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Madonna of Loreto | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Humbled | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shared Vision | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Code | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cotillard | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Rockette | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Jerseys Parade | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Temple Goddess | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Matt Winn S.) – Matt Winn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Further Ado | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Potente | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taptastic | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Car | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pavlovian | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corona de Oro | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Moneyman | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steel Imperium | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Jake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Crescent | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leading Change | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Find No Fault | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Radar Lock | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’s Winner | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Owie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Sniper | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monster Cookie | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cantis | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zap d’Etat | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.