Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thea | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Godiva | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spying | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Over Choctaw | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Serengeti | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Bella | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashes and Diamonds | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Balaclava | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ganaas | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arbiter | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hammond | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monster | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I C Light | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gnome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Trouble Calling | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Banksy’s | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Embry Show | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He Has Game | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Penalty Box | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Preside | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Strike | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mister Landry | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flaming Rainbow | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crevalli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sense of Freedom | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cut to the Chase | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise City | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me and Molly McGee | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irina’s Charm | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rojo Rita | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’z the Law | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strong State | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sing a Little Song | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Aliyah | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Debutante (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sneakily | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Munny Reigns | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vow to Resiliency | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paseo | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Temeraire | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minstrelly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | That Wasn’t Me | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starla | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emerald Spun | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roiling | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Leslie’s Lady S.) – Leslie’s Lady S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | On Time Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Explora | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Fine Chardonnay | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Blonde | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shilling | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Have Faith | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaky Good | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Icona (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Justified | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sea To Sky (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madonna of Loreto | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midway Memories | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faye’s Gold | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Streep | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Humbled | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Temple Goddess | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Rockette | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Jerseys Parade | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Low Key in Love | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cotillard | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shared Vision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Matt Winn S.) – Matt Winn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Further Ado | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Potente | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taptastic | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Car | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Moneyman | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corona de Oro | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steel Imperium | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pavlovian | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Crescent | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Jake | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Find No Fault | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Radar Lock | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Leading Change | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Owie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monster Cookie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’s Winner | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zap d’Etat | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cantis | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Sniper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.