Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Givememythememusic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alpha Kadin | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heaven’s Champion | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catholic Jackie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commander At Sea | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knowing | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lonhro’s Gamble | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Fonz | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speedy Connection | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Interim Analysis | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joshua Strike | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maynard’s Song | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Warrior (JPN) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bettermustcome | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rainbows Hero | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noisy Cricket | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Encore Mo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Somekinda Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Raleigh | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stratus | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starvin | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Out N Out Disgrace | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waitingforaholiday | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carnew | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sammysaurus Rex | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Covenant | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pocket Speed | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Blue | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kokomo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shak Town | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elgin Park | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warhol | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Influence | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impulsive Bid | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backroadsbilly | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Extraordinary One (GB) | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bold and First | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mister Blue | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Legend | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tranquillo | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aterya | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guerra | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Adversity | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Equity | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Cloud | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Turn Now | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Brit | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meet Me At Midnite | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Destination | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lively Up | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nanina (GER) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Sunset | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inescapable | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Borika (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Queenston S.) – Queenston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Military Time | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thundermaker | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highwaytothemoon | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Believein | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brachetto | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amore Mio | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kekoa | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Kabong | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Itsastormymonday | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crumlin Lad | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Masterful Moment | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash the Money | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Daddy Has Diamonds | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Legal Catch | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mason’s Gamble | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lac Macaza | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Style | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ever Dangerous | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Master Steal | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eubank | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Foresters Lastlove | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up N the Ante | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tanist | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Perfect | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chanchito | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zio Cavallo | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scottie’s Barn | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Humormeastory | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiho Srce | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.