Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Get Her Number | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air of Defiance | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gee No Hollander | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prayforpeace | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highly Flammable | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Sensation | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Al Amjaad | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentleman Jim | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Stop Willis | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Cheese Please | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Standard Deduction | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surfin’ M | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disappear | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Argan | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Bossy Lady | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Harbour | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Hill | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Protomagic | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Painter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Ginger | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Lux | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Know Nothing | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | By Grace | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lollipop | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clever One | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honky Tonk Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Althesia | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’sthetwentythird | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Glance | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Dymphna | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Art | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Military Cruiser | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Ruler | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Talker | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinister Cix | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolutely Hot | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wearebackyoungman | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frontier Justice | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Lad | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abrigado | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barker | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Moment | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Night Watcher | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Island Town | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City of Life | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Protocol | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grande Sorpreso | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wolfcamp | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Five a Side | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Cave | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovin’ On the Run | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Coats | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | White Rocks | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Wear | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ez Connect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eat Hay Run | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Redhawk Riddler | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hedge Book | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Sybil | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not That Simple | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fregata | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Toast the Star | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Beau Cup | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Electa | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maiora | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anesty | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cape Sounion (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bullet Journal | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Headspin | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Blackwing | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.