Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Evco | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Grant | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guns and Glory | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wish Carefully | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Higginsville | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still a Soldier | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joe’s Candy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’s Last Ride | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Next Time | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cardinal Union | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Major Mack | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lennie G | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bandstand | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Vale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lit Ship | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Figure | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Galilady | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Minute | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz in Sight | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victor Valley | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Color Comin’ In | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Cloud Rising | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lonelle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Broadway | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nightmare Fuel | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Llamp | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heaven’s Bolt | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Menkaure | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cold Case | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ducat | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Shipman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | War Ready | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Yaupon | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Greenwell | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Still | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Balloteer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Mo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Misery | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Birthday Gift | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ditlihi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Never Sleep | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Judge Davis | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokey Mandate | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Max | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Singer (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Some Mo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Britain’s Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Captain Choochies | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Adios Cole | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Reagan’s Wit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s Gotta Go | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whispering Charm | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Grace | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nola Louise | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Number Nine | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Command the Stars | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweetbitters | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chiquita’s Way | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twice as Wise | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Audible | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McFasty | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rochester | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impavido | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Damascus Steel | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tripp’s Promise | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Twist | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Join | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horsetron Supreme | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rational Theory | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Claire | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Something Stronger | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Triskelion | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Z Z’s | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Surrender | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blushing Justice | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lilies N Paradise | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Notes | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | If If If | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.