Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mark | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sound Cause | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midway Munny | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mirage | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Like Max | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weaponized | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mizzou | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone County | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scuffle | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highway Patrol | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tims | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Problem Solved | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Activity | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cricket Neck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belleza Latina | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valentine Eve | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Juneau | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Countthetrue | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Approved | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For the Win | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joking Around | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Misteriosa | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mels Daisy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Say It | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talkin in Cursive | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ce La Vi Charli | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patty Cakes | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insightful Miss | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miranda’s Rocky | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy and Bold | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Render Judgment | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pagode | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | House United | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chillax | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fear of Union | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Consolidated | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Different Gravy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Smoke | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smidgeon | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Chanty | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | House Boat Party | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Fashionista | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Energy Flows | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Mission | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rumbelievable | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ai Magic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | That’s the Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Austere | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miwa (GB) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For Love and Honor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Ellie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s All Charm | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Marinera | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ripped | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Hush This | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bernin Hot | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Chat | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big City | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Systemic Change | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honky Tonk Highway | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Module | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zambezi | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Monomoy Girl Overnight S.) – Monomoy Girl Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | La Rascasse | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Percy’s Bar | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneaky Good | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holly’s Holiday | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knickleandime | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point of Reference | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A. P.’s Girl | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Chorleywood S.) – Chorleywood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Echo Lane | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burnham Square | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chapman’s Peak | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin in Da’nile | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spoiler | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Hidden Chamber | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timeout | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parchment Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Redhawk Riddler | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Epic Proud Mary | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Jazz | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Matters | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teatonic | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Sheryl | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ile de La Cite | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yo Fancy | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Via Artista | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Game | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Parisinthespring | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Merry An | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | That’s a Benjamin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kaykay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | My Steel Magnolia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Poise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.