Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mark | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirage | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weaponized | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sound Cause | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midway Munny | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Like Max | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mizzou | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scuffle | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Highway Patrol | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stone County | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Problem Solved | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tims | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Activity | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cricket Neck | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | For the Win | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Countthetrue | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mels Daisy | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belleza Latina | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valentine Eve | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Juneau | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joking Around | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Approved | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Misteriosa | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Say It | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy and Bold | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talkin in Cursive | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patty Cakes | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Insightful Miss | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miranda’s Rocky | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ce La Vi Charli | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Render Judgment | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pagode | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Different Gravy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fear of Union | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | House United | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Consolidated | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chillax | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Epic Fashionista | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | House Boat Party | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smidgeon | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rumbelievable | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smoke | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Mission | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Energy Flows | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ai Magic | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That’s the Girl | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Chanty | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Austere | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Ellie | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miwa (GB) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | For Love and Honor | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s All Charm | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Marinera | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zambezi | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honky Tonk Highway | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Module | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Systemic Change | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Hush This | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ripped | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bernin Hot | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big City | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Chat | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Monomoy Girl Overnight S.) – Monomoy Girl Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Percy’s Bar | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sneaky Good | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Rascasse | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A. P.’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holly’s Holiday | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point of Reference | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knickleandime | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Chorleywood S.) – Chorleywood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Burnham Square | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Parchment Party | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chapman’s Peak | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echo Lane | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin in Da’nile | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spoiler | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Timeout | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Hidden Chamber | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Kaykay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Epic Proud Mary | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Via Artista | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Redhawk Riddler | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ile de La Cite | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 15 | 15 | That’s a Benjamin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Yo Fancy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Game | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 16 | 16 | My Steel Magnolia | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Matters | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teatonic | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Poise | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parisinthespring | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Sheryl | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Merry An | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Jazz | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.