Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devilish Grin | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Ride | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Moonlight | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blackfin (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amicable Farce | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fango Creek | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Term Market | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweetest Princess | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Street | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast and Frisky | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mommasgottagun | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carol T | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malu | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Come Full Circle | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drop Me a Dime | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smallchangegeep | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Solo Jim | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resilient Hero | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Pitch | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Ember | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fraudster | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Channelview | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amended Dreamer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Hill | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tune Timer | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bengalese | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Miss | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hard Circle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rules of the Road | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kulapat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hong Kong Phooey | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take a Stance | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Browne | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khetam | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | You’re Lookin Good | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Sea Captain | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valentinian | 0.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Antietam | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trust Issues | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous M | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Art Fair | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Hat Willie | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunner Bay | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Conniving | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timaeus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moment’s Notice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Willie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Momentum Files | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strategicoperation | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corvus | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thirteen G’s | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salming | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toga d’Oro | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Flame | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capturing | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Mo Joke | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Griselda (FR) | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Sophia (GB) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vekomancer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mz Big Bucks | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Short Shift | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Atlantique | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Presider | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paros | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frosted Over | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sardis | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Blue Line | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Creation | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whittington Park | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brigadier General | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Power Seeker | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Determinedly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tok Tok | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sharp Spark | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.