Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gethsemane | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Garryowen | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bhatia | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paul’s Recovery | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C McGriff | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hutchinson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Tapit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mass | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Look Now | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dad’s Two Sense | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elida’s Angel (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empress Sisi | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eenymeanymightymo | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Vicky | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rumbar | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Dig | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cora’s Legacy | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Dixie | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tortuga Island | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Had That One Too | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany Twist | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Animal Fries | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pop Paul | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hesper | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Mojo | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dispersion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Bullet | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Is Okay | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Election Night | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Raze | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kopiana | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spill the Sugar | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Loop | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noroomformischief | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In for a Spin | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Strategy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rotisserie | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It Was Only a Kiss | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Armet | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mumdoggie | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eleos | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chianti Town | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Final Countdown | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Standard | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stellenbosch | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Southern Whisper | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Differential | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Objection | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | This Is Your Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tour Pro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Carnival Lad | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Carson | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Script | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vesture | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tejano Twist | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nobals | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Own | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dhabab (IRE) | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alder | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spitfire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Skater | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Glide | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Killa Sally | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belle of the Barn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzig’s Dora | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Precious | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alas | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heartbeat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Les Is Best | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Smart | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Promisemeanempire | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Breaking Hearts | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Evelyn Louise | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Poema | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ocean Ripple | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sussudio | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Planet Clare | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jerseys Parade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Precious Medley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sunday Slipper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Daddario | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.