Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | C McGriff | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gethsemane | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bhatia | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paul’s Recovery | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garryowen | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hutchinson | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elida’s Angel (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Tapit | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eenymeanymightymo | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Look Now | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dad’s Two Sense | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mass | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Vicky | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rumbar | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empress Sisi | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Dig | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany Twist | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Dixie | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Had That One Too | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tortuga Island | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Animal Fries | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cora’s Legacy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Mojo | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hesper | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Election Night | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pop Paul | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dispersion | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern Bullet | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Is Okay | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Loop | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In for a Spin | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kopiana | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Raze | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spill the Sugar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rotisserie | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It Was Only a Kiss | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noroomformischief | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Strategy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Differential | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Objection | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mumdoggie | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stellenbosch | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Southern Whisper | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | This Is Your Time | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Standard | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eleos | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chianti Town | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Armet | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tour Pro | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carnival Lad | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Final Countdown | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nobals | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dhabab (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Carson | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Script | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tejano Twist | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vesture | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alder | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Own | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spitfire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Danzig’s Dora | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Skater | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Glide | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alas | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belle of the Barn | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Killa Sally | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Precious | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heartbeat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Smart | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddario | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Planet Clare | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ocean Ripple | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Les Is Best | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sunday Slipper | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Precious Medley | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evelyn Louise | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Poema | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promisemeanempire | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jerseys Parade | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Breaking Hearts | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sussudio | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.