Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Promissio | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Glory (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire’s Classic | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dealers Special | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynodave | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spearfish | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sark | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dancing With Shari | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Susie’s Loaded | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Back | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howmanymoretimes | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kambree’s Flyer | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Omfortheholidays | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thriving Autism | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Throwthefirstpunch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Joke Antares | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jacklyn Lucas | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Vengeance | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gaines | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sagunto | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cornealeusthegreat | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Originaire | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Battle School | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shady Gem | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chapter One | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cano for the Win | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiki Ride | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miguelito | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Huey | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bee Eye Gee | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day At the Track | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stagger Lee | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harbor Code | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockabilly Rebal | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Dawg | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Precision (GB) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Affirmed S.) – Affirmed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Litmus Test | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secured Freedom | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Decisive Win | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One More Freud | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Koko | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Constitution Andi | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Court of Appeal | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mandalay (GB) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nikolina | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Facts | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Lil Lady | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deep Blue | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How Lovely (IRE) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Skies | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frank Bullitt | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ballyvaughan Gig | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warm Sun and Brew | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chromeflash | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keep Dancin Nick | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Known Idea | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Druidic | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cardiff Crack | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sogno Di Vino | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maker and Sons | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chase N Ryan | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.