Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wartime | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Randie’s Rascal (GB) | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoke Trail | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | August | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ez Pal | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Generational | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Get Your Steps In | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Epic Roll | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Da Vinci | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good to Be King | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Pride Rock | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | P V Panther Pride | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Locus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Baytown Theo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Go Victory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tic Tic Tic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Derby Date | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Sensation | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Here | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Furious Anger | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Illini | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catamount | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gewurztraminer | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Noble Knight | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Military Road | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C F V Bullet | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fountain Run | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mowins | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Underdressed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Runwithheart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prince Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Susan’s Boy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kuch | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hellacious | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soho Jimmy | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stoic Sage | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hamlet | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lasting Quality | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nyttime Story | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Otto the Conqueror | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Step Forward | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B D Valeski | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Normandy Coast | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Mmmmm | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chiseler | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scat Free | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coming in Hot | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Swill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | The Minkster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Launch Control | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Three Zero | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Invulnerable | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Exploration | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dark Vintage (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Rage | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fitzgerald | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Both Sides of Bad | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Rog | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Sal | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatever | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paired | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Fuzz | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Reinbow Factor | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Old Trace | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Palacios | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speedstorm | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Social Hour | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Attersee | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Dial | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon’s Fault | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bebedouro | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Gain | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Bruiser | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sharons Beach | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Telescopic | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Boy Tony | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supercharger | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rothschild | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapoport | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of Ashes | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blast Furnace | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taunting | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demetrius | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lazlo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Discreet Dancer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.