Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bow Draw | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cozy Curlin Kitten | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Story Hour | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Prayer | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Butterfly | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barbratina | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | National Eclipse | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saltwater Cowboy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoodlum | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Pounce | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nip N Tuck | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creek | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bee Crazy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone and Plenty | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bit Tipsy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Fly | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heart of a Gunner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Setter | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crack On | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just You and Me | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fuego Sunset | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Press Release | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Spun Tight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vanderbilt | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landing Craft | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evan On Earth | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army Wildcatter | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nash Potatoes | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spurgeon | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Sapphire | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justifreak | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Crossfire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trim Castle | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Town | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | See You Soon | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ditlihi | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karajan | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Crusher | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Kiss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Theo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bomani | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Avenue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | West Hollywood | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Aces | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeth | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Idratherbeblessed | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Theismann | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Herchee | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higgins Boat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Aaron | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funtastic Again | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mitty’s Griddy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | League of Legends | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamoot | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Love | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy At Midnight | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Livehappy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guardian | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Coastal Breeze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mischief Mania | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cash Call | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Law | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | City Scene | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anakarina | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Quick | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roswell | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Market | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Amberglen (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Daydream | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Cantera (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Pharaoh | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ensorcell | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerseys Parade | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pookie | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.