Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 20, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eakly 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Let My People Go 0.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Murdock 0.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Our Starry Night 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Mischievous Rogue 0.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Moon Sniper 0.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Bal a Kazoo 0.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Hogie the Player 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rose Ruler 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Subliminal 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Escapade 0.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Shinobu 0.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Etna 0.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Red Coats Coming 0.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Stress Relief 0.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Greatest Blaze 0.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Mood Spin 0.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Forsaken Dreams 0.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Muskoka Katt 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Halfway to Omaha 0.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Sister Jean 0.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Speightsy Rival 0.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Gigi Spirit 0.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Max 0.00 9 17-1
11 11 Mighty Nora 0.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Grant’s Gretchen 0.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Passionfruit 0.00 10 19-1
7 7 Quality View 0.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 Lolly Poppin 0.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Town 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Kicking Clear 0.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Admiral Hall 0.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Muir Woods 0.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Ramblin 0.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Todo Men 0.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Kick a Buck 0.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Rulookinforrayray 0.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Jack Rabbit 0.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Frosted Bull 0.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Mountain Wolf 0.00 9.3 17-1
6 6 Gallic Charm 0.00 10.3 19-1
13 13 Best Known Secret 0.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Vulcan’s Boots 0.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Aguila Negra 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Irish Gent (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bride 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Major Rager 0.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Manuka Honey 0.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Today Isa Gift 0.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Callie’s Dance 0.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Kihei Kiana 0.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Side Quest 0.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Blessed Azteca 0.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Chiqueada 0.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Going Shopping 0.00 8.6 16-1
15 15 Denos Grace 0.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Measurement 0.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Dr Riley 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 She’s a Beauty 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Lucky Wife 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Arabian Power 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Hey Dey 0.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Master Sommelier 0.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Prince of Light 0.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Road Trippin 0.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Turbo Launch 0.00 7 13-1
6 6 Diamond Eyed Jack 0.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Timayyyy 0.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Go for Rocket 0.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Courageous Clay 0.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Prince J J 0.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Desert Dusk 0.00 12 23-1
15 15 Happy Prince 0.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Interest Only 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hill Country 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Stakeholder 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Colonial Rose 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 French Blue 0.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Moonlight Dash 0.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Grand Luxx 0.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Shared Vision 0.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Golden Irish 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Going Steady 0.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Princess Em Too 0.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Grand Oz 0.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Balaclava 0.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Warlander 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Quarry 0.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Frosty Beer 0.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Pnutbutter Whiskey 0.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Snare 0.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Mega Magic 0.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Da Prince Is Right 0.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Time for Money 0.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Equilibrium 0.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Razorcat 0.00 10 19-1
7 7 Devil Anse 0.00 10.7 20-1
10 10 Circuit Breaker 0.00 12 23-1
15 15 Rocky Joy 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mount Horeb 0.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Wakan 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Abbi Fede 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Chicago S.) – Chicago S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Usha 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Eclatant 0.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Lotsandlotsofcandy 0.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Foie Gras 0.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Beauty Reigns 0.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Zeitlos 0.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Evanescence 0.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Queen’s Martini 0.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Diagram 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Queen McKinzie 0.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Debby’s Gal 0.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Nanzig 0.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Loriebeth 0.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Lockdownyourtown 0.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 She’s Gotta Go 0.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Enticing Moves 0.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Sweettalkingwoman 0.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 The Pretty One 0.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Raging Current 0.00 11 21-1
2 2 Mother Lode 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.