Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Long Mayshe Reign | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Rider | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empress Matilda (GB) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eva Lea | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invincible Molly (GB) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tam’s Little Angel | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Theresasilverlinin | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Our Family | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free and Humble | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Makenarita | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danzig Til Dawn | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Dancer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Factor P | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Genuine Grace | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mustang Knicky | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Native Empress | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Sip | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayley Amber | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sally Says | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bee Eye Gee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opus Uno | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marcos Performance | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Way | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bazooka Charlie | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unpretentious | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 98 | Manee | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not So Merry Mary | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Twist | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | First Time Listing | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Petite Marie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Heatwave | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Potica | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mama Loves Vegas | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mo Brown | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kathy’s House | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caden’s Gal | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stay My Girl | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Make Me Money | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Velocity | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Jet | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Know Nothing | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’sthetwentythird | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Sky Rain | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danielle | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miyako Pauma | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Affair | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pro Payne | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Graduation S.) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 98 | Phone Booth | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Early Encore | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Net Par | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | King Kameha | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Prime Listing | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Jonny’s Cap | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Fumano’s Fire | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Prime Splash | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 98 | Cathal (IRE) | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pioneer Prince | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joint Venture | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caisson | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Foot | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wizard of Westwood | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J T’s Watch | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Druidic | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Movin’ On | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stagger Lee | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spearfish | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grandisimo | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.