Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 22, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uncle Barrie 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bubster 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Term Premium 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Modest Maclean 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Big Frosty 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Imperial Anthem 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Just Tipsy 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Teuflesdale 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mutaawid 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rothschild 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sardis 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 The Hidden Chamber 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Arkhipov 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 L’Imperator (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Asbury Park (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Art Museum 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Powerline 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 American History 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Barrel Roll 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pass On By 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Shocked 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Got Tough 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Louden 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 No Time to Lose 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Tralee Girl 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fifi La Fume 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Give Her Another 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Amelia’s Echo 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Divineintervention 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Sunshine Lily 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Five Dozen Roses 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Leslie’s Star 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 So Vain 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Americanexpression 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Paynterpretty 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Call Me Jal 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Heads in Beds (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dr Glick 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Loveontheleftbank 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Key Actress 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 U Vicky 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 River Empress 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Tavern Talk 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Devilish Grin 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Madeline’s Agenda 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Lose the Blues 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Lil Tipsy 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Kef 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Outro 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Just Tell Anne 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Raging Bloom 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Majestic Moonlight 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Private Property (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Above All Odds 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Coastal Conflict 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Key Colony Beach 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Forever Carina 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sparky’s Delight 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lucerra 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mysticious 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Classic Nora 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 White Truffles 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Very Clever 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Keshi 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tarantino 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bold Journey 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nakatomi 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Acoustic Ave 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Over and Ollie 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cat On Time 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sacrosanct 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gunmetal 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sinead 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Kaaterskill 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Moonlight Ready 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Lightning Strike 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Juliet On Approach 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dancingwithdestiny 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Miss Jane Hathaway 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Vernon Valley 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Scorch 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Maria Callas 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Emergency Nine 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Arinata 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Tuthilltown 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Fairy Godmother 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Willintoriskitall 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Playa Del Mar 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fact 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cocktailsnkringle 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Filoso 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stimulate 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 C McGriff 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silver Talent 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Enforced Agenda 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Freddie B 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ballston Spa S. Presented By Stihl) – Ballston Spa S. Presented By Stihl

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Scalable 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Deep Satin 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Segesta 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grayosh 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 And One More Time 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Play With Fire 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sunlit Uplands (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ozara (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Long Ago (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nycon 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Measure 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ati Girl 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 A. P.’s Girl 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 My Gun’s Loaded 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Counting Stars 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stand the Rain 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Home Wrecker 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Prime Connection 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mia Sophia 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Riyah Al Nil 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Secretly Delighted 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fango Creek 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Osmosis (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mary Lois (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.