Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 4, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shared Services 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 May December 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Domestic Agenda 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bashfully 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flamenco 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Queen Paola 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Charlotte’s Beach 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 La Patronne (FR) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Vortex 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Promise Me Amelody 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Allegro Brillant 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Okay Annie 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sparks Will Fly 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 A Little Presley 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Galway Gurl 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Midnight Honor 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Carmen Amalia 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run Classic 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Baby Yoda 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Inexorable 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mischievous M 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Trust Issues 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Commuted 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shoot the Nickel 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Pair of Socks 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Souper Tuscan 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (P. G. Johnson S.) – P. G. Johnson S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Up Before the Dawn 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mel Went Home 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Urgent Claire 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pros and Cons 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Boomesherang 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Glycogen 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Baliage (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sitting On a Win 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Silver Jackpot 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Carpet City 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Road to Purfection 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Judysdancin Tonite 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Risky Mission 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kwan 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Rock Me Doc 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Daddy’s Ready 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Forecheck 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mass Confusion 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Night Sky 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Kinboshi 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Inflame 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tiger Line 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Funny Music 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Whitby 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Shangrala Road 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Corvus 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Daiquiri Sommelier 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mike’s Magic 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Magnum’s Macrobrst 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hutchinson 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Swiss Army Knife 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Sociably Johnny 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Brooklyn 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Paul’s Recovery 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Seeking The Ante S.) – Seeking The Ante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cachorrita 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 B Yutiful Carly 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tiara 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Saint Dymphna 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 You Are My Suzie Q 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Prime Aurora 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Velora 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Run Curtis Run 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Show Time 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Vacation Dance 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 What’s Up Bro 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Final Verdict 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Boltage 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bosun 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Vettriano 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Spiced Up 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 No Evidence 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tralee Girl 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sunshine Lily 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Madeline’s Promise 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Big Heleonora 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Heaven’s Bolt 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Admiral Sol 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 St. Brigid’s Cross 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ishkabibble 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lexi’s Melody 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Warm Up the Bus 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Babcie 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quick Power Nap 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Roagna 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Artistic Success 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 She Takes Cash 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Bunny Honey 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Starlight Dancer 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 On a Summer Day 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bryant and Cooper 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Aibell 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Garden of Grace 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Five Dozen Roses 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Miss American Pie 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gallega 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Athena’s Fury 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Paula’s Choice 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Intothewilderness 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lady Firefoot 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dividend Recap 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Purloin 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Seat At the Table 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Celestial Express 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Nonna Lynne 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Trail of Gold 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gum 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Higher Force 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Jadorlinija 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Prime Connection 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Run Wild 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 So Darn Pretty (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Consensus View (GB) 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.